We raced
at the Terrapin’s Senior Trials and Finals meet this last weekend. It is the
first really meaningful meet of the fall season and a good indicator of things
to come in December. All of our swimmers got what they needed. The ones who are
all in, got confirmation that they are on track for some seriously fast
December races. Those who are a bit on the fringes of reality got the feedback
they needed as well; mainly get on track or get left behind this training block.
As
we watch the races and give feedback to our swimmers, now and then a piece of
wisdom emerges and we capture it for its value in explaining the phenomenon
known as seriously fast swimming.
This is from Ken: “You can never win a race in the first 50 but you can lose a race in the first 50.”
This
sounded like a theory to us so we checked our knowledge from decades ago about
theories and what makes them valid. What follows is the generally accepted
version of what is needed for a theory to be valid. Based upon these
explanations, we will go out on a limb and say that Ken is indeed a Grand
Master as his statement is indeed a theory.
Hope
this is fun and helps you with your swimmers!
A scientific theory is a well-substantiated explanation of some
aspect of the natural world, based on knowledge that has been repeatedly
confirmed through observation and experimentation.[1][2] Scientists
create scientific theories from hypotheses that have been
corroborated through the scientific
method, then gather evidence to test their
accuracy. As with all forms of scientific knowledge, scientific theories are inductive in nature and aim for predictive and
explanatory force.[3][4]
The strength of a scientific theory is related to the diversity of
phenomena it can explain, which is measured by its ability to make falsifiable predictions with respect to those phenomena. Theories are improved
as more evidence is gathered, so that accuracy in prediction improves over
time. Scientists use theories as a foundation to gain further scientific
knowledge, as well as to accomplish goals such as inventing technology or curing disease. (- or
swimming faster).
Scientific theories are the most reliable, rigorous, and comprehensive form
of scientific knowledge.[3] This is
significantly different from the word "theory" in common usage, which
implies that something is unsubstantiated or speculative.[5]
- It must match the evidence.
It should predict.
Its statements must be able to be independently verified.
· For a scientific theory to be
valid, it must allow you to test it. There must be ways to validate or
invalidate the theory either through observation or experimentation.
Predictions are often presented with the theory. After this, the theory is
tested to check and see which predictions hold up or are true and which are
false.
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