2016
Olympic Trials begin this Sunday. Over the next 8 days swimmers will be
selected to the 2016 US Olympic Team based upon their performance at the
Trials. Times swum previously do not count in the selection process. In the
individual events only the fastest two times – swum in the Finals – are
considered. Prelim times and entry times are just that – history. Here is a
look at the favorites based upon the psych sheet in the order these events will
be contested at Trials.
MEN
400 IM: TYLER CLARY, CHASE KALISZ
WOMEN
100 FLY: DANA VOLLMER, KELSI WORRELL
MEN
400 FREE: CONNOR JAGER, ZANE GROTHE
WOMEN
400 IM: MAYA DIRADO, ELIZABETH BEISEL
MEN
100 BREAST: CODY MILLER, NIC FINK
WOMEN
100 BACK: NATALIE COUGHLIN, MISSY
FRANKLIN
MEN
200 FREE: RYAN LOCHTE, CONOR DWYER
WOMEN
100 BREAST: KATIE MEILI, LILLY KING
MEN
100 BACK: DAVID PLUMMER, MATT GREVERS
WOMEN
400 FREE: KATIE LEDECKY, LEAH SMITH
WOMEN
200 FREE: KATIE LEDECKY, MISSY FRANKLIN
MEN
200 FLY: MICHAEL PHELPS, JACK CONGER
WOMEN
200 IM: MAYA DIRADO, MELANIE MARGALIS
MEN
100 FREE: NATHAN ADRIAN, MICHAEL PHELPS
WOMEN
200 FLY: CAMMILE ADAMS, KATIE MCLAUGHLIN
MEN
200 BREAST: KEVIN CORDES, JOSH PRENOT
WOMEN
100 FREE: SIMONE MANUEL, MISSY FRANKLIN
MEN
200 BACK: TYLER CLARY, RYAN MURPHY
WOMEN
200 BREAST: MICAH LAWRENCE, LAURA SOGAR
MEN
200 IM: MICHAEL PHELPS, RYAN LOTCHE
MEN
50 FREE: NATHAN ADRIAN, CAELEB DRESSEL
WOMEN
800 FREE: KATIE LEDECKY, BECCA MANN
MEN
100 FLY: MICHAEL PHELPS, TOM SHIELDS
WOMEN
200 BACK: MISSY FRANKLIN, MAYA DIRADO
WOMEN
50 FREE: MADISON KENNEDY, SIMONE MANUEL
MENS
1500 FREE: CONNOR JAEGER, JORDAN WILIMOVSKY
At
the end of the meet some of these names will be on the 2016 Team. Others will
not, having been replaced by those not yet considered to be a favorite. And
that is precisely why the meet is held…entry times are only a statement of
previous behavior. While that can be viewed as an indicator, possibly even a
predictor of future performance we know that it is not 100% a guarantee of
anything. There are always a few who make the team that no one is seriously
considering today. Conversely there are a few who are favored who will fall
short…by a little or a lot.
Think
for a moment about the lead the Warriors had after 4 games. They were up 3
games to 1. Cleveland was down 3 to 1 and had to swim 3 in a row, 2 of them on
the road. No team had ever done that before…but now one team has done it.
Omaha
will have several similar stories on Monday, July 4th.
(see
the entire entry list on the USA Swimming website…great reading!)